Half Sigma reveals eHarmony’s secret

Half Sigma site logoI’ve got a website idea for you. It’s for people looking for houses to buy. But instead of a real estate listings search engine like MLS.com or MLS.ca where you enter the thorough specifics of the houses you want and click «Search», you have to WAIT for the site to send you houses whom it thinks you’d like and you should check out.

Crazy idea?

Not according to Half Sigma, who reveals to us yesterday the answer to his teaser last August, “What is eHarmony’s Secret”:

Before you can join eHarmony, you have to take a personality test which takes up an hour of your time. This is generally considered a bad thing in the internet world. You want to make signing up as easy and painless as possible. The longer the sign-up process, the more potential customers drop out. …

There’s the theory that after putting so much effort into joining, people are more likely to pay the high fee. Car dealers like to do this to you—make you waste as much time as possible at their dealership. However, what works for a bricks and mortars operation doesn’t necessarily translate well online. It’s a lot easier to just click the little “x” at the top right of the web browser than it is to walk out on a flesh and blood salesman. …

I think I know the real reason why eHarmony is successful, and it’s not the personality tests. But hey, maybe I’m wrong that.

Yesterday, after two months of keeping us guessing, he tell us the answer, and hey, I think it’s brilliant:

Everyone else seems to think that it’s the personality tests that are the key to eHarmony’s success, but I know better. It’s just the throttling.*

Damn it, that’s it.

eHarmony could just be drawing randomly out of a deck of cards and nobody would be that worse off. Members would still read the profiles of the seven matches they get in the morning. Why? Because no woman gets 200 introductory emails a day and no man sends 200 crafted introductory emails a day either. All anyone gets at most is seven per day.

Late last year HS created a dating website based on ideas of his like this. To give you an idea, let me quote you the site’s “About Us” page:

<Dating Site> Is the Better Relationship Site

Privacy

Are you worried about all of your friends, coworkers and employers being able to find your online dating profile? At <Dating Site>, only your matches are able to see your profile. Furthermore, <Dating Site> allows you to control who you are matched with. You will only be matched with people who fit your age, height, and other requirements. Other members can only send you an email if you indicate that you’re interested in them. At <Dating Site>, you will not be bombarded with emails from men old enough to be your father (unless you want to).

FREE to respond to emails

At most pay dating sites, only paying members can send and read emails. But their profiles are displayed without any warning that you’re wasting your time sending writing them an email. At <Dating Site>, we guarantee that every member is able to read and respond to emails. This ensures that everyone you write to is able to write back.

Bigger photos

In this day of inexpensive bandwidth, why do other dating sites have such tiny photos? Photos at <Dating Site> are more than twice as big as at Match.com! <Dating Site> lets you see your matches.

Doesn’t that pique your interest?

He says that his problem is what he described yesterday as the online dating conundrum — “The dating site can only reach that nirvana if people know about it. An unknown site is useless to potential members and earns its creator no money. But advertising is very expensive. … In order to get a critical mass of users, I would have to pay a lot more money in advertising than I can afford, which would require me to raise venture capital.”

Half Sigma, what’s that you’re saying? You have got to read Markus Frind’s blog post in 14 June 2006. (Albeit some disagree with his numbers.)

Readers, do you agree with Half Sigma about eHarmony’s secret of success? Is a dream life partner for most people only a dream — whose wish-fulfillment makes into a profitable business?

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    Comments 4

    1. SingleGuyInNC wrote:

      Half Sigma and eHB’s commentary make some interesting points.

      From what I’ve read elsewhere (how truthful it is, I do not know, as I am not a female) but if you are an attractive female on Match.com with values that appeal to the majority of suitors, you can afford to ignore many potential suitors. While you won’t get 100 inquiries a day, it can be significant enough that you have the option to ignore the “icebreakers”/on-the-fence non-subscribers that most will send and have an adequate selection from active subscribers sending e-mails.

      From my perspective as a male, communicating with nearly all of my matches and the lack of response over time, I think that throttling is irrelevant and response rate is what it is, on any of these services.

      In thinking about throttled/selective eHarmony versus the Match.com virtually unlimited browse model, I think you end up creating two ideals. In eHarmony, you tend to think, “well, perhaps something better will come along tomorrow” and I guess that may tend to keep folks subscribed as well as being more picky and less willing to work with what they’ve got (and closing out a lot of good potential matches). On the other hand, with Match.com, if you setup a fairly specific search…that’s all you’ve got to work with and once you’ve gone through that pond, you have two choices: wait for more fish to appear in that pond or look for a bigger one by changing your search parameters. In their case, it seems like they operate more on a find someone in a month and if you don’t…you would tend to get despondent, don’t resubscribe and give up (although they have a 6-month guarantee deal).

      In any relationship site, the underlying dream/wish-fulfillment model is present, like it or not. That’s what they tried to use on me when I was talking to their CS and while it may work better for some, for others, who have a broader vision and take a more logical approach, it doesn’t work quite as well as a retention/money-making tool.

      Posted 15 Oct 2008 at 8:25 am
    2. Dr. Joel Block wrote:

      Okay, slam me, I’m a psychologist whose career has been devoted to love and sex, what do I know? For starters…

      My forthcoming book The Real Reasons Men Commit (Dec., Adams Media) gets it right (no fluff!). Yeah, I’m shameless, but everyone who has read an advance copy has felt it to be their “bible” for figuring out if he’s real or just looking to get down.

      What’s more, go to http://www.ButterfliesAgain and check out an awesome compatibility test–that actually works! Any dating site that uses it can send a couple who meet and marry based on the match to a free Honeymoon–the test developers pay!

      Joel

      Posted 17 Oct 2008 at 11:05 am
    3. eharmonyblog wrote:

      Readers who were piqued about ButterfliesAgain, do check out Joel’s recent discussion/face-off with Dr. Jim Houran, an expert in compatibility testing and research.

      Posted 18 Oct 2008 at 12:23 am
    4. Ron wrote:

      I agree. Throttling is what gives the underdog a chance. In unlimited-browse sites, pretty people receive more responses than they care for. Homely people get no second look.

      Throttling levels the playing field: Pretty or not, people get the same number of matches.

      Posted 18 Oct 2008 at 9:13 pm

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